An Election Prophet Vindicated
One analyst got every electoral vote right in predicting the outcome of this year's presidential election. He used a system nobody else was using.
Whereas most pollsters were expecting a very close election and many had Harris winning, one analyst got every electoral vote right.
Capt. Seth Keshel called the race as 312 electoral votes for Trump, and 226 for Harris, a perfect 56 for 56 in state electoral vote counts, on the morning of Election Day, well before votes were counted. It is notable that Keshel’s final forecast was simply a summary of the posts he had already made in the days before the election.
Keshel’s technique is innovative, counterintuitive, and accurate. “I have been preaching voter registration by party analysis over polls for four years now,” Keshel wrote in his review of the results on Thursday.
Keshel has come under fire from the corporate (i.e., leftist) media, led by The New York Times, because his analyses regularly reveal disturbing anomalies best explained as deliberate, partisan manipulation, i.e., cheating:
It is a surreal thing to have been completely vindicated not only for my analytical methodology, but for my opinion of the fairness of the 2020 presidential quasi-election, which now faces increased scrutiny after this year’s result.
This year’s presidential election results show serious anomalies too, though they were not sufficient to turn the outcome, Keshel says. “I believe final margins for President Trump in the decisive states are likely substantially altered by the usual ballot stuffing in key areas that has altered key Senate and House races, but fell short of preventing Trump from carrying their respective electoral votes,” Keshel writes.
One must judge a prophet solely by whether his predictions come true. The unmatched accuracy of Keshel’s forecasts lends credence to his observations and conclusions about anomalies in the vote counts.
You can read more of Keshel’s analyses and explore his techniques at his Captain K’s Corner Substack site.